Showing posts with label Delegates. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Delegates. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

Two States Don't Stop No Show....

So let's recap:

Clinton claims victory in 3 out of 4 of last week's primaries, and the media and her supporters practically party in the streets about the "underdog" breaking Obama's 11 state winning streak.

BUT HOLD UP, WAIT A MINUTE!

What did she really win? Here's the numbers before and after last week's primaries....


BACK ON FEBURARY 26
Obama: 1, 192 delegates

Clinton: 1, 036 delegates

NOW, AS OF MARCH 12
Obama: 1,379 delegates

Clinton: 1,230 delegates

[source]

Keep in mind that these current numbers only include the delegates Clinton and Obama got in the Texas primary, which is exactly the same since the results were so close - 92 delegates each, despite her "win." On top of that, the delegates alloted from the Texas caucuses, which Obama won with a significant margin, haven't been added to these numbers yet. This will increase his lead even more.

So ultimately, despite all the media "oohs" and "aahs" about Clinton's comeback, OBAMA WILL ACTUALLY INCREASE HIS LEAD!

I mean, how fly is that? Dude doesn't even have to win states to stay in the lead. Which makes you wonder what all the hoopla about Clinton was about. Hmmm. Maybe they were doing that "Hucka-math"..........

Monday, February 25, 2008

Score Card: Obama in the lead. Period.

One of the worse things about being away from you for so long was not sharing the excitement over what the faithful always knew would happen (provided that this election is run FAIRLY)...Obama is in the lead:

Obama: 1, 192 delegates

Clinton: 1, 036 delegates

[source]

Remember peeps, here at G-n-B you get it straight, no chaser. No SUPER-DELEGATE confusion. As of today, Obama is in the lead in terms of delegates ALLOTTED BY THE VOTES OF THE PEOPLE.

If Barack keeps on this winning streak and crushes the competition on March 4 in Texas and Ohio, it's basically a wrap.

UNLESS Billary tries to play one of her parlor tricks and cheat Obama out of the nomination by

1) Having the Florida and Michigan delegates counted (even though she knew DANG WELL that those states would be penalized for having their primaries early), AND/OR

2) Pulling strings with Super-Delegates to get them to vote for her, DESPITE THE WILL OF THE PEOPLE.

You might be thinking, "Oh, no super delegate would vote for Billary if the majority of their constituents voted for Obama." Well, normally, the backlash from the voters would be enough to convince someone to go the path of the popular vote. However, one has to keep in mind that A LOT OF PEOPLE OWE BILLARY A FAVOR. Especially some of our well-established Negro politicians. Every time you see big business, so-called "gentrification," and other "improvements" in a Black neighborhood, you better believe there's some Negro politician somewhere who's sold his soul (and super delegate vote) to get it. Don't let them get away with it! If you know that one of your local politicians just happen to be a super delegate, WRITE TO THEM AND URGE THEM VOTE IN A WAY THAT REFLECTS THE WILL OF THE PEOPLE.

Garden State Lady suggests this resource to help get your voice heard (click here). Thanks, GSL!

Monday, February 11, 2008

Obama's Clean Sweep / Billary Cleans House



Billary has had a tough weekend ya'll, so I ain't even gonna try to diss. I'll just state the facts....

After winning ALL of the democratic contests this weekend, including Maine just yesterday, the current DELEGATE (not super delegate) score is:

Obama: 943

Billary: 895

(Source)

After such a crushing defeat, it should come as no surprise that Billary decided to switch it up a bit, and gave her old campaign manager (Patti Solis Doyle) the boot, replacing her with some new woman (Maggie Williams). The word that her camp is putting out is that old girl left voluntarily, but we all know the deal......

The fact that Billary's trading a Latino (Solis Doyle is Mexican American) for an African-American might also be a sign that she finally sees that she can't take the Black vote for granted.....Then again, could it be that she thinks a Black woman would be the best one to turn to in order to take down a Black man??? I'm not saying, I'm just saying.

Let's see what happens tomorrow with the Maryland, D.C., and Virginia primaries.

Saturday, February 9, 2008

Feb. 9 - Obama SLAUGHTERS the Competition!!!

Oh snap! Washington, Nebraska, Louisiana, and The Virgin Islands - All for Obama. And with some HUGE margins!!!!

East, West, North, South, even in the Caribbean, HE WON'T STOP, WON'T QUIT. And just to be clear.....

OBAMA IS STILL AHEAD IN PLEDGED DELEGATES.

Bump the speculation on what the super delegates are gonna do, we're talking about the ones that Obama has gained due to proportional allocations based on the Democratic primaries and caucuses.

Let's all stay tuned to get the exact total once all the precincts report.

Friday, February 8, 2008

Who's Got More Delegates? The Answer is....

If you've been asking this very question "So who's got more delegates now? Who's in the lead? Obama or Clinton?" for the past few days, then you already know that the news media are not helping to relieve your confusion one bit.

At first I thought it was me, but then I read this Wall Street Journal blog that confirmed my suspicians: The media, once again, is playing us for the okey-doke.

What do I mean? If you read Delegates and Super Delegates 101, you know that the only the delegates gained from the primary votes really count right now. The "super delegates" don't officially pledge their vote to a candidate until the Democratic National Convention. So if you are reading the newspaper, internet, or watching a news program and report how many delegates a candidate has CHECK TO SEE IF THEY ARE COUNTING JUST DELEGATES, OR ADDING A PREDICTION ABOUT SUPER DELEGATES ALSO. If they say that the tally includes super delegates, then their total is pure speculation!

The only media outlet that seems to be just counting delegates in its reporting is NBC. Check out their nifty graphics here. According to them, without all this super delegate non-sense that we can't be sure of until the August convention, the score looks like this:

Obama: 861

Clinton: 855

Edwards: 26 (remember, even though he's out of the race, he still got delegates from previous primaries)

So as of Friday, February 8th at 4pm, BARACK OBAMA HAS MORE DELEGATES THAN BILLARY.

These numbers will change:
1. After the rest of the country has its primaries and caucuses.

2. When all this stuff with the close call in New Mexico, and the Florida and Michigan exclusion is figured out.

3. At the Democratic National Convention when the mysterious super delegates cast their votes.

That #3 is the messed up part, ya'll....

Thursday, February 7, 2008

Delegates and SuperDelegates 101


Am I the only one who's irked about this delegate system? Or to be more precise, the Super Delegate thing?....Or maybe you're one of those that don't really know how this system works. Well, you can check out this spiffy professional type link here... but here's how I understand on the Democratic side, in G-n-B terms.....

- Delegates are people who get to go to the Democratic National Convention (this year it's in August) and vote for who will be the party's presidential nominee.

- Delegates can be any Democrat registered to vote. You. Joe Schmo. Anybody. If you wanna be one, you just go to your local party chapter and they will break down the selection process.

- When the primary or caucus occurs, in most states, delegates are awarded on a proportional basis. For example, if Jack got 30% of the vote in Texas and Jill got 70%, then 30% of the Texas delegates pledge to vote for Jack at the convention, and the other 70% pledge to vote for Jill.

- Each state has a different number of delegates depending on their population. There are 3,253 Democratic party delegates in all. See your state number here.

Actually sounds simple, right? But wait! There are also these Super Delegates...

- Super Delegates also go to the Democratic National Convention and vote for who the party's presidential candidate will be. However, they're different from regular delegates because they can vote for whomever they want, regardless of how average citizens voted in the primary. Why? I have no idea.

- Super-delegates are congressman, Democratic party big-wigs, governers, big ballers and shot-callers. Why? I have no idea.

- There are 796 Democratic super-delegates.



So in the case of candidates Jack and Jill (above), Jack might have won the majority of the popular vote around the country during the primaries, but if Bob the super delegate is really feeling Jill, he could say "Bump Jack! Jill gets my vote." If enough super delegates think and vote like this, a candidate (in this case, Jack) could lose the nomination even though most of the average citizens around the country actually chose him.

With 4,049 delegates total (that's delegates plus super-delegates), and a big portion of that number being the "anything goes" super delegates, that means that Jack and Jill scenario is a very real possibility.

Does that sound fair to you?


Here's another take on this issue:

http://www.newsweek.com/id/108697?gt1=10856

(Thanks to S. in the Garden State for sending me this Newsweek article)